Do Bayesian neural networks actually behave like Bayesian models?

G. Pituk, V. Shirvaikar and T. Rainforth
Published: 01/05/2025
Published in:
The Forty-Second International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2025)

We empirically investigate how well popular approximate inference algorithms for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) respect the theoretical properties of Bayesian belief updating. We find strong evidence on synthetic regression and real-world image classification tasks that common BNN algorithms such as variational inference, Laplace approximation, SWAG, and SGLD fail to update in a consistent manner, forget about old data under sequential updates, and violate the predictive coherence properties that would be expected of Bayesian methods. These observed behaviors imply that care should be taken when treating BNNs as true Bayesian models, particularly when using them beyond static prediction settings, such as for active, continual, or transfer learning.

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